Predictions
Matches
Calendar
H2H
Rankings
Picks Blog
Aslan Karatsev vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Karatsev vs Arnaldi analysis and find out who is favored!
Aslan Karatsev vs Matteo Arnaldi Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Karatsev 1 - 0 Arnaldi
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Karatsev has won 44% of points on their second serve, while Arnaldi has won 51.36%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Karatsev, in recent form, has won 50% of their opponent's second serve points, while Arnaldi has won 49.19%. The same stats for first serve returns are 32.92% and 31.23% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Karatsev has saved 52.73% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Arnaldi has saved 62.3% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Karatsev has won 45.16% of matches played (W/L 14/ 17), with Arnaldi winning 64.79% (W/L 46/ 25) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Karatsev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 64% (W/L 156/ 88), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 32% (W/L 6/ 13). Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 124/ 61), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 12/ 19).
- Player level: In the last year, Karatsev has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 52.63% of matches (W/L 10/ 9), where as Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 59.26% of matches (W/L 16/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Karatsev winning 1 times and Arnaldi being victorious 0 times. They have played 3 sets in total, with Karatsev winning 2 and Arnaldi winning 1. The last match between Karatsev and Arnaldi was at the Zhuhai Open - Zhuhai, 21-09-2023, First, Hard with Aslan Karatsev getting the victory 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 6-2.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 3:9:40.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Karatsev and Arnaldi have played a deciding set 1 times, with Karatsev winning 1 times and Arnaldi 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Karatsev winning 1, and Arnaldi 1.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Karatsev has played against opponents with an average rank of 183.32 while Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 177.13.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Karatsev has won 56% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Arnaldi has won 53% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Karatsev has converted 36.54% of breakpoint opportunities, and Arnaldi has converted 37.17% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
82
Rank
14
High
30
Age
R
Plays
1
Total0
1
Hard0
0
Clay0
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
35
Rank
35
High
23
Age
Plays
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
Form
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
59% (405-285)
Career Total W/L
63% (206-119)
17% (1-5)
YTD W/L
58% (19-14)
$3,787,005
Career Prize Money
$1,472,595
0
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Aslan Karatsev | Matteo Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 1 | 0 |
| Sets Won | 2 | 1 |
| Games Won | 19 | 15 |
| Aces (Total) | 17 | 7 |
| DFs (Total) | 9 | 4 |
| Avg Match Time | 3:9:40 | 3:9:40 |
| 1st Serve % | 63% (60/95) | 62% (78/126) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 83% (50/60) | 67% (52/78) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 57% (20/35) | 50% (24/48) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 36% (4/11) | 50% (2/4) |
| Return Points W% | 40% (50/126) | 26% (25/95) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| 1st set W, W | 0% (0/0) | 0% (1/0) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (0/0) | 100% (1/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 6-2 |
Stats 
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
63%
(
60 of
95)
1st Serve %
62%
(
78 of
126)
17
Aces
7
9
Double Faults
4
83%
(
50 of
60)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
52 of
78)
57%
(
20 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
24 of
48)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
26%
(
25 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
50 of
126)
120
Total Points Won
101
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Aslan Karatsev | Matteo Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 17% (1/5) | 58% (19/14) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 31% (5/11) | 57% (49/37) |
| Games Win/Loss | 45% (72/87) | 51% (438/414) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 0% (0/1) | 56% (10/8) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 20% (1/4) | 60% (9/6) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.09 | 0.56 |
| Aces Total | 7 | 235 |
| DFs per game | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| DFs Total | 26 | 95 |
| Avg Match Time | 2:11:46 | 2:10:19 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 201 | 187 |
| 1st Serve % | 62% (320/520) | 57% (1600/2815) |
| 1st Serve W% | 65% (209/320) | 71% (1134/1600) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 44% (88/200) | 51% (624/1215) |
| BPs Won% Total | 37% (19/52) | 37% (100/269) |
| Return Pts W% | 39% (202/513) | 38% (1051/2762) |
| Slam W/L | 0% (0/1) | 67% (4/2) |
| Masters W/L | 33% (1/2) | 55% (6/5) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 0% (0/2) | 57% (8/6) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 50% (1/1) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 25% (1/4) | 54% (14/26) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/1) | 67% (4/6) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 33% (1/3) | 60% (9/15) |
| Deciding Set W% | 33% (1/3) | 43% (6/14) |
| 1st set W, W | 0% (0/0) | 74% (19/14) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (0/0) | 26% (19/5) |
| 1st set L, W | 17% (6/1) | 31% (13/4) |
Aslan Karatsev Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 |
Stats
Alexander Shevchenko
Player
Aslan Karatsev
55%
(
89 of
161)
1st Serve %
68%
(
89 of
130)
13
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
3
61%
(
54 of
89)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
59 of
89)
47%
(
34 of
72)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
13 of
41)
60%
(
9 of
15)
Break Points Won
36%
(
8 of
22)
45%
(
73 of
161)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
58 of
130)
146
Total Points Won
145
|
6-4 4-6 1-6 6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Flavio Cobolli
Player
Aslan Karatsev
58%
(
32 of
55)
1st Serve %
66%
(
48 of
73)
5
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
5
72%
(
23 of
32)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
28 of
48)
57%
(
13 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
7 of
25)
33%
(
5 of
15)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
35%
(
19 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
38 of
73)
74
Total Points Won
54
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Tommy Paul
Player
Aslan Karatsev
64%
(
43 of
67)
1st Serve %
60%
(
33 of
55)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
67%
(
29 of
43)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
20 of
33)
67%
(
16 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
59%
(
13 of
22)
75%
(
3 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
9)
33%
(
22 of
67)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
22 of
55)
67
Total Points Won
55
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Mackenzie Mcdonald
64%
(
63 of
99)
1st Serve %
70%
(
58 of
83)
2
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
3
67%
(
42 of
63)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
41 of
58)
53%
(
19 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
9 of
25)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
43%
(
3 of
7)
38%
(
38 of
99)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
33 of
83)
94
Total Points Won
88
|
4-6 6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Fabian Marozsan
Player
Aslan Karatsev
68%
(
48 of
71)
1st Serve %
52%
(
48 of
93)
2
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
7
75%
(
36 of
48)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
31 of
48)
52%
(
12 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
22 of
45)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
100%
(
2 of
2)
32%
(
23 of
71)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
40 of
93)
88
Total Points Won
76
|
7-6(6) 7-6(2) | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Jason Murray Kubler
Player
Aslan Karatsev
64%
(
49 of
76)
1st Serve %
56%
(
39 of
70)
5
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
6
63%
(
31 of
49)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
29 of
39)
48%
(
13 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
33%
(
3 of
9)
42%
(
32 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
27 of
70)
71
Total Points Won
75
|
6-4 6-7(4) ret. | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Borna Gojo
Player
Aslan Karatsev
79%
(
38 of
48)
1st Serve %
49%
(
27 of
55)
6
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
4
82%
(
31 of
38)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
19 of
27)
60%
(
6 of
10)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
11 of
28)
33%
(
3 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
23%
(
11 of
48)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
25 of
55)
62
Total Points Won
41
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Ben Shelton
Player
Aslan Karatsev
80%
(
40 of
50)
1st Serve %
57%
(
36 of
63)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
80%
(
32 of
40)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
22 of
36)
70%
(
7 of
10)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
13 of
27)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
22%
(
11 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
28 of
63)
67
Total Points Won
46
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Shintaro Mochizuki
58%
(
34 of
59)
1st Serve %
56%
(
30 of
54)
6
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
85%
(
29 of
34)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
21 of
30)
60%
(
15 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
13 of
24)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
25%
(
15 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
20 of
54)
64
Total Points Won
49
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Alex De Minaur
62%
(
43 of
69)
1st Serve %
63%
(
30 of
48)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
1
72%
(
31 of
43)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
20 of
30)
54%
(
14 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
9 of
18)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
5)
35%
(
24 of
69)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
19 of
48)
64
Total Points Won
53
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
view more
Matteo Arnaldi Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R4 |
Stats
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
66%
(
77 of
116)
1st Serve %
58%
(
88 of
151)
7
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
2
74%
(
57 of
77)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
57 of
88)
54%
(
21 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
30 of
63)
24%
(
5 of
21)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
33%
(
38 of
116)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
64 of
151)
142
Total Points Won
125
|
3-6 7-6(4) 6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Andrey Rublev
68%
(
59 of
87)
1st Serve %
52%
(
64 of
123)
13
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
4
75%
(
44 of
59)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
46 of
64)
71%
(
20 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
25 of
59)
38%
(
5 of
13)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
26%
(
23 of
87)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
52 of
123)
116
Total Points Won
94
|
7-6(6) 6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Alexandre Muller
55%
(
65 of
119)
1st Serve %
60%
(
52 of
87)
11
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
2
69%
(
45 of
65)
1st Serve Won
44%
(
23 of
52)
43%
(
23 of
54)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
16 of
35)
44%
(
8 of
18)
Break Points Won
14%
(
3 of
21)
43%
(
51 of
119)
Rtn Points Won
55%
(
48 of
87)
116
Total Points Won
90
|
6-4 6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Arthur Fils
63%
(
71 of
112)
1st Serve %
64%
(
64 of
100)
5
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
1
62%
(
44 of
71)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
36 of
64)
54%
(
22 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
15 of
36)
60%
(
9 of
15)
Break Points Won
40%
(
6 of
15)
41%
(
46 of
112)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
49 of
100)
115
Total Points Won
97
|
6-3 4-6 6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Luciano Darderi
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
53%
(
37 of
70)
1st Serve %
60%
(
51 of
85)
4
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
5
68%
(
25 of
37)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
32 of
51)
70%
(
23 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
18 of
34)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
31%
(
22 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
35 of
85)
83
Total Points Won
72
|
6-2 2-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Fabio Fognini
45%
(
25 of
55)
1st Serve %
54%
(
44 of
81)
3
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
68%
(
17 of
25)
1st Serve Won
75%
(
33 of
44)
70%
(
21 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
11 of
37)
20%
(
3 of
15)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
31%
(
17 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
37 of
81)
75
Total Points Won
61
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
60%
(
43 of
72)
1st Serve %
52%
(
39 of
75)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
79%
(
34 of
43)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
28 of
39)
55%
(
16 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
15 of
36)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
31%
(
22 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
32 of
75)
82
Total Points Won
65
|
6-2 7-6(6) | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Harold Mayot
53%
(
57 of
107)
1st Serve %
66%
(
59 of
89)
7
Aces
3
6
Double Faults
2
70%
(
40 of
57)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
40 of
59)
56%
(
28 of
50)
2nd Serve Won
57%
(
17 of
30)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
30%
(
3 of
10)
36%
(
39 of
107)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
32 of
89)
100
Total Points Won
96
|
3-6 7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64%
(
52 of
81)
1st Serve %
57%
(
51 of
89)
3
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
4
83%
(
43 of
52)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
37 of
51)
52%
(
15 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
19 of
38)
29%
(
2 of
7)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
28%
(
23 of
81)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
33 of
89)
91
Total Points Won
79
|
2-6 6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Christopher O'Connell
62%
(
33 of
53)
1st Serve %
71%
(
37 of
52)
8
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
73%
(
24 of
33)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
22 of
37)
70%
(
14 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
8 of
15)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
28%
(
15 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
22 of
52)
60
Total Points Won
45
|
6-4 6-1 | H2H | ||
view more
Karatsev Vs Arnaldi Prediction H2H Images To Share
Today's H2H Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
If you are looking to predict tennis or soccer matches, Matchstat.com has you covered! We have league, player and team stats, and specialise in detailed h2h stats between tennis players or soccer teams.
All our predictions are based on machine learning and AI. Matchstat is designed to help you in your analysis and predictions but the responsibility for your final predictions are your own.
It's good to talk... Get in touch with us [email protected]
